CASE STUDIES / EMISSIONS · ANALYSIS · AUG 2024

Better scheduling cuts fleet CO2 by 23%.

Replacing spreadsheet scheduling with emissions-aware optimisation cuts fuel burn and CO2 across a 40-vessel book, scaling to twenty million tonnes a year fleet-wide.

-23%

FLEET CO2 VS. MANUAL SCHEDULING, WITH A CO2 OBJECTIVE

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Three levels of the same book.

01 · THE SETUP

Three portfolios built on identical inputs: 40 vessels, 200 cargoes, six months. They differ only in how the schedule is computed, from feasible-only spreadsheets to profit-and-emissions optimal.

ALL CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATIONS FULFILLED IN EVERY CASE

1

Manual

Industry-standard spreadsheet scheduling. Feasible, but not optimal.

2

AI-optimised

Profit-based ADP and schedule optimisation.

3

AI + CO2 objective

Profit maximised and emissions minimised in the same objective.

CO2 steps down twice.

02 · THE RESULT

Moving from manual to optimised scheduling cuts emissions about 16% through less fuel burn, boil-off and idle loss. Adding the CO2 objective takes a further 11%, for 23% total against the spreadsheet.

FLEET CO2 · MILLION TONNES / 6 MONTHS40 VESSELS
Manual schedule2.1MT
AI-optimised1.8MT · -16%
AI + CO2 objective1.6MT · -23%

From one book to the world fleet.

03 · THE SCALE

The best case saves roughly 475,000 tonnes of CO2 in six months on 40 vessels. Annualised and extrapolated to the global fleet of about 800 carriers, the potential reaches twenty million tonnes a year.

475K T

SAVED IN 6 MONTHS · 40 VESSELS

~1M T

PER YEAR · 40 VESSELS

20M T

PER YEAR · GLOBAL FLEET

~800M

TREE EQUIVALENT, ILLUSTRATIVE

Where the burn actually goes.

04 · COMPONENTS

The consumption stack splits into engine fuel, additional boil-off gas and idle loss. Optimisation reduces all three at once, because routing, speed and idle time are decided together rather than cargo by cargo.

Fuel consumptionREDUCED · ROUTING + SPEED
Additional boil-off gasREDUCED · SHORTER LEGS
Idle lossREDUCED · TIGHTER SCHEDULE

05 · THE VERDICT

The same book, scheduled better, burns less: minus 23% CO2 against the spreadsheet, and twenty million tonnes a year at fleet scale.
6-MONTH SAVING 475K TONNESFLEET POTENTIAL 20M T/YEARVESSELS 40CASES 3

40 VESSELS · 200 CARGOES · 6 MONTHS · GLOBAL FLEET ASSUMED 800 VESSELS

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