Screen-print style poster of three candles with less and less smoke

CASE STUDIES / EMISSIONS · AUG 2​024

How scheduling changes affect fleet emissions.

The study compares three ways to schedule the same 40-vessel, 200-cargo portfolio over six months.

-23%

REPORTED CO₂ REDUCTION VS MANUAL REFERENCE · SIX MONTHS

View as slides (PDF) →

Compare three schedules for the same deliveries.

01 · PORTFOLIO

The reference schedule meets the contracts. A second schedule maximises profit. A third includes an emissions objective. Each covers 40 vessels and 200 cargoes over six months.

40 VESSELS · 200 CARGOES · 6 MONTHS · ALL CONTRACTUAL OBLIGATIONS FULFILLED IN EVERY CASE

1

Manual

Reference schedule that meets the modelled delivery commitments.

2

AI-optimised

Profit-based ADP and schedule optimisation: routing, speed, bunker and idle time decided together.

3

AI + CO2 objective

Schedule calculated with an additional emissions objective.

Compare modelled CO₂ emissions.

02 · RESULT

The rounded totals are 2.1, 1.8 and 1.6 million tonnes. The source reports approximately 475,000 tonnes saved against the manual reference, or 23%.

FUEL AND BOG CONSUMPTION: ~39M / ~34M / ~30M MMBTU ACROSS THE THREE CASES

FLEET CO2 · MILLION TONNES PER 6 MONTHS · 40 VESSELS

Manual schedule2.1 MT
AI-optimised1.8 MT
AI + CO2 objective1.6 MT

Inspect the changes in the vessel plan.

03 · X-LNG RESULTS

Routing, sailing speed and idle time affect fuel consumption and emissions. These X-LNG views show the schedules being compared. A lower emissions total alone does not establish equal profit.

00.511.522.52.1 MTMANUAL1.8 MTAI-OPTIMISED1.6 MTAI + CO2 OBJECTIVE1.8 Mt1.6 Mt
Fleet CO₂ emissions, rounded to millions of tonnes.
FUELADDITIONAL BOGIDLE LOSSMANUAL~39MAI-OPTIMISED~34MAI + CO2 OBJECTIVE~30M
Fuel and boil-off gas consumption, in million MMBtu. Components are rounded estimates from the source chart.

04 · RESULT

23% lower modelled CO₂ emissions than the manual reference schedule.

The 23% reduction is the source’s reported result. Chart totals are rounded. The global estimate assumes the same savings per vessel and two comparable six-month periods.

Keep the fleet extrapolation separate.

05 · GLOBAL ESTIMATE

Applying 475,000 tonnes of six-month savings to 800 vessels gives approximately 19 million tonnes per year. This assumes every vessel achieves comparable savings; it is not measured global performance.

475K T

CO2 SAVED IN 6 MONTHS · 40 VESSELS

950K T

ANNUALISED ESTIMATE · 40 VESSELS

19M T

ANNUALISED EXTRAPOLATION · 800 VESSELS

20

800-VESSEL FLEET / 40-VESSEL STUDY

What this comparison shows.

06 · TAKEAWAYS

✓

Compare modelled CO₂ emissions

The rounded totals are 2.1, 1.8 and 1.6 million tonnes. The source reports approximately 475,000 tonnes saved against the manual reference, or 23%.

✓

Keep the fleet extrapolation separate

Applying 475,000 tonnes of six-month savings to 800 vessels gives approximately 19 million tonnes per year. This assumes every vessel achieves comparable savings; it is not measured global performance.

!

Scope of the result

The 23% reduction is the source’s reported result. Chart totals are rounded. The global estimate assumes the same savings per vessel and two comparable six-month periods.

How the study was calculated.

07 · CALCULATION

1

Set up the comparison

The reference schedule meets the contracts. A second schedule maximises profit. A third includes an emissions objective. Each covers 40 vessels and 200 cargoes over six months.

2

Calculate the alternatives

Routing, sailing speed and idle time affect fuel consumption and emissions. These X-LNG views show the schedules being compared. A lower emissions total alone does not establish equal profit.

3

Review the result

23% lower modelled CO₂ emissions than the manual reference schedule.

Modelled results depend on the contracts, prices and operating assumptions used.